Oscar Predictions: Original Score – Will Thomas Newman get his 16th career nomination for ‘Elemental?’ »
Variety Awards circuit The section brings together all the awards news and related content throughout the year, including the following: official predictions for upcoming OscarsEmmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, organized by Variety Clayton Davis, Awards Editor. Prediction pages reflect current race standings and do not reflect the personal preferences of any individual competitor. As other formal (and informal) polls suggest, competitions are fluid and subject to change based on buzz and events. Forecasts are updated every Thursday.
Visit the prediction pages for the respective ceremonies via the links below:
OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMY | TONYS
Oscars 2024 Predictions:
Best Original Music
Snow Society
Weekly commentary (updated November 7, 2023): Renowned composer Thomas Newman has been nominated for 15 Academy Awards, tying him with fellow composer Alex North for the most without a win. These losses include “American Beauty” (1999), “Road to Perdition” (2022), “Finding Nemo” (2003), “WALL-E” (2008) and “1917” (2019). There’s also the dual-title year of “The Shawshank Redemption” (1994) and “Little Women.” As soon as possible, right?
In Pixar’s “Elemental,” he captures the essence of a story through music, which has made him one of the most sought-after composers in the industry.
He will battle it out with Academy Award winner Ludwig Göransson for his explosive work on “Oppenheimer“, and the growing feeling for the late Robbie Robertson, who composed “Killers of the Flower Moon.” There are also other competing animated films such as Daniel Pemberton’s breathtaking chords to “Spider-Man: Across the Spider-Verse.”
It will be a difficult race to organize throughout the season.
Read: Variety Awards circuit for the latest Oscar predictions in all categories.
The submission deadline for the general categories is November 18, 2023. Preliminary voting on the shortlists will begin on December 18 and the results will be announced on December 21. The voting period will take place from January 11 to 16, 2024, with the official nominations. announced on January 23.
The 96th Academy Awards will take place on Sunday March 10.
***The list below is not final and will be updated throughout awards season.
And the expected nominees are:
- Ludwig Göransson – “Oppenheimer» (Universal Images)
- Robbie Robertson– “Flower Moon Killers” (Apple Original Movies/Paramount Pictures)
- Jersey Fendrix – “Poor things” (Projector photos)
- Chris Bowers – “Origin» (Neon)
- Michael Giacchino – “Snow Society» (Netflix)
Next in line
- Daniel Pemberton – “Spider-Man: Through the Spider-Verse» (Sony Images)
- Thomas Newman – “Elementary” (Pixar)
- Laura Karpman – “American fiction» (MGM)
- Anthony Willis– “Salt burn» (Amazon MGM Studios)
- Christopher Bear, Daniel Rossen – “Past lives» (A24)
Other high-level possibilities
- Mica Levi – “The area of interest» (A24)
- Hans Zimmer – “The creator» (20th century workshops)
- John Williams – “Indiana Jones and the Dial of Destiny» (Walt Disney Images)
- Joe Hisaishi – “The boy and the heron» (GKids)
- David Metzger – “Wish» (Walt Disney Images)
- Alexandre Desplat – “Asteroid City» (Focus on features)
- Martin Phipps – “Napoleon» (Apple/Sony Pictures Original Movies)
- Daniel Pemberton – “Ferrari» (Neon)
- Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross – “The killer» (Netflix)
- Émilie Lévienaise-Farrouch – “All of us strangers” (Projector photos)
Also in the running
- Hans Zimmer – “Are you there, God? It’s me, Margaret» (Lionsgate)
- Alexandre Desplat – “The boys in the boat» (MGM)
- Alexandre Desplat – “Nyad» (Netflix)
- Branford Marsalis – “Rustin» (Netflix)
- Richard Reed Parry – “The iron claw» (A24)
- Will Bates – “Stupid money» (Sony Images)
- Alexandre Desplat – “The boys in the boat» (MGM)
- Hildur Guðnadóttir – “A haunting in Venice» (20th century workshops)
- Philip Glass, Paul Leonard-Morgan – “The pigeon tunnel» (Apple Original Movies)
- Marcelo Zarvos – “Flamin’ Hot»(Hulu/Searchlight Pictures)
All eligible titles (listed alphabetically by Studio)**
- “A Haunting in Venice” (20th century workshops) — Hildur Guðnadóttir
- “The Creator” (20th Century Studios) — Hans Zimmer
- “Beau is afraid” (A24) – Bobby Krlic
- “The Iron Claw” (A24) – Richard Reed Parry
- “Past Lives” (A24) – Christopher Bear, Daniel Rossen
- “Priscilla” (A24) – Phoenix
- “The area of interest» (A24) – Mica Levi
- “The Funeral” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Michael Abels
- “Cassandro” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Marcelo Zarvos
- “Enemy” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Park Jiha, Oliver Coates, Agnes Obel
- “Saltburn” (Amazon MGM Studios) – Anthony Willis
- “Nails” (Apple Original Films) — Christopher Stracey
- “Flora and Sons” (Apple Original Films) – Gary Clark, John Carney
- “Flower Moon Killers» (Apple Original Films/Paramount Pictures) – Robbie Robertson
- “Napoleon” (Apple Original Films/Sony Pictures) — Martin Phipps
- “The Pigeon Tunnel” (Apple Original Films) — Philip Glass, Paul Leonard-Morgan
- “Golda” (Bleecker Street) — Dascha Dauenhauer
- “Asteroid City” (Focus Features) — Alexandre Desplat
- “The Boy and the Heron” (GKids) – Joe Hisaishi
- “BlackBerry” (IFC Films) – Jay McCarrol
- “Flamin’ Hot” (Hulu/Searchlight Pictures) – Marcelo Zarvos
- “Story Ave” (Kino Lorber) — Pierre Charles
- “Are you there, God? It’s me, Margaret” (Lionsgate) – Hans Zimmer
- “The Hunger Games: The Ballad of Songbirds and Serpents” (Lionsgate) — James Newton Howard
- “Joy Ride” (Lionsgate) – Nathan Matthew David
- “Kokomo City” (Magnolia Pictures) – D. Smith
- “Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 3″ (Marvel Studios) – John Murphy
- “The Marvels” (Marvel Studios) – Laura Karpman
- “American Fiction” (MGM) – Laura Karpman
- “Bottoms” (MGM/Orion) – Charli XCX, Leo Birenberg
- “The Boys in the Boat” (MGM) — Alexandre Desplat
- “Guy Ritchie’s The Covenant” (MGM) – Chris Benstead
- “The Mission” (National Geographic) — Danny Bensi, Saunder Jurriaans
- “Eileen” (Neon) – Richard Reed Parry
- “American Symphony” (Netflix) – Jon Batiste
- “The Deepest Breath” (Netflix) – Nainita Desai
- “Fair Play” (Netflix) – Brian McOmber
- “The Killer” (Netflix) – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
- “Leave the World Behind” (Netflix) – Mac Quayle
- “Nyad” (Netflix) — Alexandre Desplat
- “Rebel Moon” (Netflix) – Tom Holkenborg
- “Rustin” (Netflix) – Branford Marsalis
- “The Snow Society” (Netflix) — Michael Giacchino
- “Origin” (Neon) – Kris Bowers
- “Dungeons & Dragons” (Paramount Pictures) – Lorne Balfe
- “Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles: Mutant Mayhem” (Paramount Pictures) – Trent Reznor, Atticus Ross
- “Elementary” (Pixar) – Thomas Newman
- “Somewhere in Queens” (Roadside Attractions) – Mark Orton
- “We are all strangers” (Searchlight Pictures) — Emilie Levienaise-Farrouch
- “The Next Goal Wins” (Searchlight Pictures) – Michael Giacchino
- “Poor Things” (Searchlight Pictures) – Jerskin Fendrix
- “Dumb Money” (Sony Pictures) – Will Bates
- “Spider-Man: Through the Spider-Verse” (Sony Pictures) —Daniel Pemberton
- “A Little Prayer” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Greg Danner
- “The Teachers’ Lounge” (Sony Pictures Classics) – Marvin Miller
- “Ferrari” (Neon) — Daniel Pemberton
- “Oppenheimer» (Universal Pictures) – Ludwig Göransson
- “She Came to Me” (Vertical Entertainment) – Bryce Dessner
- “Barbie” (Warner Bros.) – Mark Ronson, Andrew Wyatt
- “Blue Beetle” (Warner Bros.) – Bobby Krlic
- “The Color Purple” (Warner Bros.) – Kris Bowers
- “Wonka” (Warner Bros.) – Joby Talbot
- “Indiana Jones and the Clock of Destiny” (Walt Disney Pictures) – John Williams
- “The Little Mermaid” (Walt Disney Pictures) – Alan Menken
- “Wish” (Walt Disney Pictures) – David Metzger
Winner of the 2022 category: “All is calm on the Western Front” (Netflix) — Volker Bertelmann
**indicates unconfirmed release date in 2023 or could campaign in main or secondary categories. All release dates are subject to change.
Oscar prediction categories
BEST PICTURE | DIRECTOR | BEST ACTOR | BEST ACTRESS | SUPPORTING ACTOR | SUPPORTING ACTRESS | ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY | ADAPTED SCREENPLAY | ANIMATION FUNCTION | PRODUCTION DESIGN | CINEMATOGRAPHY | COSTUME DESIGN | FILM MONTAGE | MAKEUP & HAIRDRESSING | HER | VISUAL EFFECTS | ORIGINAL MUSIC | ORIGINAL SONG | DOCUMENTARY FILE | INTERNATIONAL FILE | SHORT ANIMATED | SHORT DOCUMENTARY | SHORT LIVE ACTION
About the Oscars
The Academy Awards, better known as the Oscars, are the most prestigious artistic award in the Hollywood film industry. Since 1927, nominees and winners have been selected by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are represented among the nearly 10,000 members. The branches are Actors, Associates, Casting Directors, Cinematographers, Costume Designers, Directors, Documentaries, Executives, Film Editors, Makeup and Hair Artists, Marketing and Public Relations, General Members, General Members (Artist Representatives), Music , producers, production design, animated shorts and features, sound, visual effects and screenwriters.
